par Labeau, Pierre-Etienne
Référence AEÜ. International journal of electronics and communications, 52, 3, page (205-211)
Publication Publié, 1998
Article révisé par les pairs
Résumé : Dynamic approaches to system reliability are intended to overcome conceptual weaknesses of current risk analysis techniques for the treatment of systems whose response to an initial solicitation evolves with time. Probabilistic dynamics presents a fully integrated dynamic methodology, able to take into account all aspects of the problem: changes in the hardware configuration, dynamic evolution of the system, operating procedures etc. But with such a complete approach arises an important numerical challenge. For many reasons, Monte Carlo simulation appears as one of the only ways to tackle such a problem, provided that efficient algorithms for an accurate and fast estimation of small failure risks can be defined. This paper reviews high-efficiency simulation techniques that have been developed for probabilistic dynamics.