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Seeing thought in the future: literate forecasting and forecasting literacy

par Morais, Jose ;Kolinsky, Régine
Référence Journal of Cultural Cognitive Science, 5, 2, page (229-265)
Publication Publié, 2021-08-01

Article révisé par les pairs

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Résumé :

Humans have a sense of time continuity. The narration of the past has been materialized through writing, which has condensed their projection into the future in ways that are not immune to the influence of an ever-changing literacy capacity. In this paper, it is proposed that our thinking of future, its anticipation, prediction and, more appropriately, forecasting is literacy-based. After presenting (i.e., calling to the present) the individualist and sociocultural cognitive theories that have been developed on thinking the future, we distinguish anticipation and prediction in the quite immediate future, as exemplified in the processing of written language. Then, we examine anticipatory, predictive and forecasting aspects of human thinking and reasoning according to two different approaches: the educational and the cognitive. Finally, we comment on the heritage of literacy and scientific literacy to the future. We consider potential present and future effects of the emergence of a new form of literacy, the digital one, and its technological implementation, namely artificial intelligence.