par Lefèvre, Claude ;Gathy, Maude
Référence Communications in statistics. Theory and methods
Publication Publié, 2009
Article révisé par les pairs
Résumé : This article is concerned with the Markov-Pólya distribution and its links with the Katz family of distributions. The Katz family is defined through a first-order recursion of remarkable form; it (only) covers the Poisson, negative binomial and binomial distributions. The Markov-Pólya distribution arises in the study of certain urn or population models that incorporate (anti)contagion effects. The present work is motivated by questions and applications in actuarial sciences. First, the Markov-Pólya distribution is presented as a claim frequency model. This distribution is then shown to satisfy a Katz-like recursion. As a consequence, a simple recursion is derived for computing a compound sum distribution that generalizes the Panjer algorithm in risk theory. The Katz family is also obtained as a limit of the Markov-Pólya distribution. Finally, an observed frequency of car accidents is fitted by a Markov-Pólya distribution. © 2011 Taylor & Francis Group, LLC.