Communication à un colloque
Résumé : The aim of this research is to find out which characteristics of ministers (sociodemographic profile, career path, policy stance, and party membership) generate public support. In particular, it aims at gauging overall support for ministers who did not follow a typical “career politician” pathway prior to their nomination (i.e., those who never ran in elections and are not affiliated to a political party) and understanding what drives this support. We use a web-based conjoint experiment that will be fielded in several European countries (collection of pilot data is underway). In the experiment, respondents are presented with pairs of vignettes, each of which describes the profile of a hypothetical minister. Each attribute (age, gender, current occupation, party affiliation, field expertise, policy position, family background, and willingness to run in the next election) is independently randomized. Respondents must then state which of the two candidates they would personally prefer as a minister. The task is repeated for five minister positions: Prime minister, minister of Finance, minister of Foreign affairs, minister of Education, and minister of Agriculture. This method allows us to simultaneously assess the causal effect of each attribute on the probability that a profile will be selected by respondents and to disentangle the drivers of preferences for technocrats versus career politicians. The paper presented here mostly reports on the overall research objectives of the study and on the experimental design proposed. It also contains some preliminary findings from a pilot survey submitted in December 2020 to about 200 students.